Democrat · IL
Daniel Biss
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Daniel Biss (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 IL-09 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 97%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 IL-09 House race | 98% | 98% | 97% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.9M
- Spent
- $2.7M
- Cash on hand
- $262K
- Outside groups for
- $1.2M
- Outside groups against
- $1.4M
Through June 30, 2026. $2.7M from individuals, $206K from PACs, $3K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Daniel Biss →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
