What are Danny Minton's chances of winning the 2026 TX-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Danny Minton a 1% chance (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 0%).

How much money has Danny Minton raised?

Danny Minton's campaign has raised $44K and has $14K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TX

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Danny Minton (Democrat) a 1% chance of winning the 2026 TX-06 House race (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 0%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-06 House race	1%	1%	0%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $36K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $3K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Danny Minton →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.