What are Darializa Avila Chevalier's chances of winning the 2026 NY-13 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Darializa Avila Chevalier a 98% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).

How much money has Darializa Avila Chevalier raised?

Darializa Avila Chevalier's campaign has raised $1.4M and has $222K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NY

Darializa Avila Chevalier

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Darializa Avila Chevalier (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 NY-13 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-13 House race	98%	97%	98%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.4M
Spent: $1.1M
Cash on hand: $222K
Outside groups for: $1.9M
Outside groups against: $1.5M

Through June 30, 2026. $1.3M from individuals, $27K from PACs. FEC filings for Darializa Avila Chevalier →

Recent headlines

Rep. Burchett planning to block NYC socialist Chevalier from Congress after she claimed to use American flag as napkin New York Post · Oct 3

Running against

Manual "Jomo" Williams3%
Jomo Williams2%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.