What are David Flippo's chances of winning the 2026 NV-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give David Flippo a 78% chance (Kalshi 78%, Polymarket 78%).

How much money has David Flippo raised?

David Flippo's campaign has raised $2.3M and has $118K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NV

David Flippo

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give David Flippo (Republican) a 78% chance of winning the 2026 NV-02 House race (Kalshi 78%, Polymarket 78%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NV-02 House race	78%	78%	78%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.3M
Spent: $2.2M
Cash on hand: $118K
Outside groups for: $1.2M
Outside groups against: $219K

Through June 30, 2026. $520K from individuals, $67K from PACs, $1.7M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for David Flippo →

Polls

In the 2026 NV-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has David Flippo at 42% against Teresa Benitez-Thompson at 41%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-03).

Social buzz

118K interactions with posts about David Flippo in the last 24 hours from 33 people; 48% of posts read as positive, up 56% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Teresa Benitez-Thompson23%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.