What are David Kustoff's chances of winning the 2026 TN-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give David Kustoff a 96% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has David Kustoff raised?

David Kustoff's campaign has raised $2.2M and has $3.0M cash on hand, through July 17, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TN

David Kustoff

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give David Kustoff (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 TN-08 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TN-08 House race	96%	95%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.2M
Spent: $1.3M
Cash on hand: $3.0M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 17, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $1.0M from PACs. FEC filings for David Kustoff →

Running against

Heidi Kuhn4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.