Democrat · NM
Deb Haaland
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Deb Haaland (Democrat) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 New Mexico governor race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 96%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 New Mexico governor race | 95% | 94% | 96% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 New Mexico governor race, the Parlay polling average has Deb Haaland at 47% against Greggory D. Hull at 40%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-08-28).
Social buzz
91K interactions with posts about Deb Haaland in the last 24 hours from 37 people; 65% of posts read as positive, down 84% on last week.
- A Native American woman has never been a governor or a U.S. senator. That could change this year if Deb Haaland wins the governor’s race in New Mexico, and if either former congresswoman Mary Peltola or Minnesota Lt. Gov The Washington Post · tweet
- Conversations with governor candidates Hull & Haaland: How would you fix CYFD? KRQE · youtube-video
- Now that we know my sources are real. And that Deb Haaland, Melanie Stansbury and Gary King are all being subpoenaed by the Epstein truth commission why don’t you stop holding out on one of the biggest stories in the sta Unfiltered with Elias · tiktok-video
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
