Republican · KS
Derek Schmidt
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Derek Schmidt (Republican) a 88% chance of winning the 2026 KS-02 House race (Kalshi 88%, Polymarket 88%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 KS-02 House race | 88% | 88% | 88% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.5M
- Spent
- $557K
- Cash on hand
- $939K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 15, 2026. $898K from individuals, $506K from PACs. FEC filings for Derek Schmidt →
Running against
- Don Coover12%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
