Republican · WI
Derrick Van Orden
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Derrick Van Orden (Republican) a 27% chance of winning the 2026 WI-03 House race (Kalshi 27%, Polymarket 26%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 WI-03 House race | 27% | 27% | 26% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $7.5M
- Spent
- $3.4M
- Cash on hand
- $4.7M
- Outside groups for
- $673K
- Outside groups against
- $3.2M
Through July 22, 2026. $4.4M from individuals, $995K from PACs. FEC filings for Derrick F. Van Orden →
Polls
In the 2026 WI-03 House race, the Parlay polling average has Derrick Van Orden at 46% against Rebecca Cooke at 50%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-06-25).
Social buzz
47K interactions with posts about Derrick Van Orden in the last 24 hours from 47 people; 58% of posts read as positive, down 13% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.