What are Diana Harshbarger's chances of winning the 2026 TN-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Diana Harshbarger a 98% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 99%).

How much money has Diana Harshbarger raised?

Diana Harshbarger's campaign has raised $1.3M and has $2.0M cash on hand, through July 17, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TN

Diana Harshbarger

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Diana Harshbarger (Republican) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 TN-01 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 99%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TN-01 House race	98%	97%	99%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.3M
Spent: $740K
Cash on hand: $2.0M
Outside groups for: $13K
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 17, 2026. $477K from individuals, $683K from PACs. FEC filings for Diana Harshbarger →

Running against

Kristi Burke2%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.