Republican

Donald J. Trump

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Donald J. Trump (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 2%). Donald J. Trump also appears in 1 other market below.

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2028 Republican presidential nomination2%2%2%—
2028 presidential election2%3%1%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Social buzz

699.2M interactions with posts about Donald J. Trump in the last 24 hours from 148K people; 55% of posts read as positive, down 32% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Recent headlines

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works