Republican
Donald J. Trump
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Donald J. Trump (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 2%). Donald J. Trump also appears in 1 other market below.
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 2% | 2% | 2% | — |
| 2028 presidential election | 2% | 3% | 1% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Social buzz
699.2M interactions with posts about Donald J. Trump in the last 24 hours from 148K people; 55% of posts read as positive, down 32% on last week.
- Aos eleitores de Augusto Cury, Renan Santos e Caiado: pedimos humildemente o voto de vocês no 13 no segundo turno para não entregar o país nas mãos da milícia e do Trump. A diferença é de menos de 2,5 milhões de votos, e Vasco LGBTQ+ 🏳️🌈 · tweet
- Una vez más, un candidato alineado a la ideología conservadora del presidente de Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, obtiene un triunfo. Flávio Bolsonaro se impuso a Lula da Silva en la primera vuelta de las elecciones preside Latinus · tiktok-video
- resultados do senado: - mussolini - jeffrey dahmer - pedrinho matador - saddam hussein - jeffrey epstein - pdiddy - donald trump - pinochet - leopoldo II - lázaro barbosa . · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Recent headlines
- Democrats Plan to Un-Trump America After 2028 – Can They Pull It Off? Liberty Nation News · Oct 5
- Trump changes his tone on mail voting ahead of the 2026 midterms news.meaww.com · Oct 5
- What Could Persuade Trump to Resign Should Democrats Win Congress? CounterPunch.org · Oct 5
- Trump was ‘well aware’ of energy price risks before Iran decision, energy secretary says Washington Examiner · Oct 4
- President Trump hits campaign trail as midterm elections approach WQAD · Oct 4
- Trump faces midterm verdict as Democrats close in on US Congress EWN · Oct 4
- Fact Check: Is Trump planning to file a $10B lawsuit if Democrats win the midterms? news.meaww.com · Oct 4
- Trump faces midterm verdict as Democrats close in on US Congress The Korea Times · Oct 4
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.