What are Donald Norcross's chances of winning the 2026 NJ-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Donald Norcross a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Donald Norcross raised?

Donald Norcross's campaign has raised $1.7M and has $2.4M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NJ

Donald Norcross

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Donald Norcross (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 NJ-01 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NJ-01 House race	96%	96%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.7M
Spent: $1000K
Cash on hand: $2.4M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $725K from individuals, $791K from PACs. FEC filings for Donald W Norcross →

Running against

Damon Galdo4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.