What are Edwin Rivera's chances of winning the 2026 VA-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Edwin Rivera a 3% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 3%).

How much money has Edwin Rivera raised?

Edwin Rivera's campaign has raised $7K and has $2K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · VA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Edwin Rivera (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 VA-03 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 3%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 VA-03 House race	3%	2%	3%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $2K from individuals, $500 from PACs, $4K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Edwin Mr. Rivera Jr. →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.