What are Ethan Baker's chances of winning the 2026 MI-11 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ethan Baker a 3% chance (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 3%).

How much money has Ethan Baker raised?

Ethan Baker's campaign has raised $142K and has $121K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · MI

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ethan Baker (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 MI-11 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 3%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MI-11 House race	3%	3%	3%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $141K from individuals, $1K from PACs. FEC filings for Ethan D Baker →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.