Democrat · TX
Frederick Haynes III
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Frederick Haynes III (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 TX-30 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 TX-30 House race | 98% | 98% | 98% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $420K
- Spent
- $300K
- Cash on hand
- $120K
- Outside groups for
- $200K
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $373K from individuals, $48K from PACs. FEC filings for Frederick Haynes III →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
