What are Gabe Evans's chances of winning the 2026 CO-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gabe Evans a 14% chance (Kalshi 14%, Polymarket 14%).

How much money has Gabe Evans raised?

Gabe Evans's campaign has raised $5.4M and has $3.9M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · CO

Gabe Evans

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gabe Evans (Republican) a 14% chance of winning the 2026 CO-08 House race (Kalshi 14%, Polymarket 14%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CO-08 House race	14%	14%	14%	▼ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $5.4M
Spent: $1.6M
Cash on hand: $3.9M
Outside groups for: $1.5M
Outside groups against: $3.5M

Through June 30, 2026. $2.1M from individuals, $1.4M from PACs. FEC filings for Timothy Gabriel Joseph Evans →

Polls

In the 2026 CO-08 House race, the Parlay polling average has Gabe Evans at 48% against Manny Rutinel at 46%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-17).

Running against

Manny Rutinel86%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.