Democrat · NM
Gabe Vasquez
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gabe Vasquez (Democrat) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 NM-02 House race (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 96%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NM-02 House race | 94% | 93% | 96% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $3.8M
- Spent
- $1.4M
- Cash on hand
- $2.4M
- Outside groups for
- $22K
- Outside groups against
- $881K
Through June 30, 2026. $2.4M from individuals, $986K from PACs. FEC filings for Gabriel Vasquez →
Polls
In the 2026 NM-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Gabe Vasquez at 46% against Greg Cunningham at 43%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-02).
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
