Democrat
Gavin Newsom
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gavin Newsom (Democrat) a 16% chance of winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination (Kalshi 14%, Polymarket 18%). Gavin Newsom also appears in 1 other market below.
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 16% | 14% | 18% | ▲ 1¢ |
| 2028 presidential election | 9% | 9% | 9% | ▲ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Social buzz
9.3M interactions with posts about Gavin Newsom in the last 24 hours from 2K people; 55% of posts read as positive, down 12% on last week.
- 🚨#BREAKING: Elon Musk has just announced that due to Governor Gavin Newsom signing AB1955, which bans schools from making rules requiring parental notification if a child identifies as transgender, among other laws, Spac Wiki Leaks 1.0 · tweet
- California Governor Gavin Newsom signs law opening the door to balcony solar for renters, apartment dwellers and homes without suitable roofs, allowing qualifying solar systems to plug into household outlets without util ArgentineBeauty · reddit-post
- Newsom Derangement Syndrome off the charts for Chris Wrong. Trump started a new war. Trump has no plan. Americans are paying the price. Governor Newsom Press Office · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Recent headlines
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
