What are Gil Cisneros's chances of winning the 2026 CA-31 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gil Cisneros a 96% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Gil Cisneros raised?

Gil Cisneros's campaign has raised $705K and has $260K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CA

Gil Cisneros

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gil Cisneros (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 CA-31 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-31 House race	96%	97%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $705K
Spent: $486K
Cash on hand: $260K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $240K from individuals, $454K from PACs, $7K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Gilbert Cisneros →

Running against

Eric Ching4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.