What are Glenn Ivey's chances of winning the 2026 MD-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Glenn Ivey a 99% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 100%).

How much money has Glenn Ivey raised?

Glenn Ivey's campaign has raised $674K and has $459K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MD

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Glenn Ivey (Democrat) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 MD-04 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 100%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MD-04 House race	99%	98%	100%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $336K from individuals, $338K from PACs. FEC filings for Glenn Frederick Ivey →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.