What are Glenn Thompson's chances of winning the 2026 PA-15 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Glenn Thompson a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Glenn Thompson raised?

Glenn Thompson's campaign has raised $1.9M and has $830K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · PA

Glenn Thompson

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Glenn Thompson (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 PA-15 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 PA-15 House race	96%	96%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.9M
Spent: $1.8M
Cash on hand: $830K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $2K

Through June 30, 2026. $738K from individuals, $1.0M from PACs. FEC filings for Glenn Thompson →

Running against

Ray Bilger4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.