What are Greg Casar's chances of winning the 2026 TX-37 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Greg Casar a 98% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).

How much money has Greg Casar raised?

Greg Casar's campaign has raised $1.2M and has $597K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TX

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Greg Casar (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 TX-37 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-37 House race	98%	98%	99%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $889K from individuals, $251K from PACs. FEC filings for Greg Casar →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.