Democrat · AZ
Greg Stanton
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Greg Stanton (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 AZ-04 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 99%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 AZ-04 House race | 98% | 97% | 99% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.1M
- Spent
- $1.1M
- Cash on hand
- $2.0M
- Outside groups for
- $750K
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 1, 2026. $1.5M from individuals, $639K from PACs. FEC filings for Greg Stanton →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
