What are Hakeem Jeffries's chances of winning the 2026 NY-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Hakeem Jeffries a 98% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 99%).

How much money has Hakeem Jeffries raised?

Hakeem Jeffries's campaign has raised $14.9M and has $5.0M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NY

Hakeem Jeffries

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Hakeem Jeffries (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 NY-08 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 99%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-08 House race	98%	97%	99%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $14.9M
Spent: $14.9M
Cash on hand: $5.0M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $32K

Through June 30, 2026. $10.9M from individuals, $2.1M from PACs. FEC filings for Hakeem Jeffries →

Recent headlines

Jeffries says House Democrats reaching to flip Trump districts in attempt to repeat their 2018 sweep Audacy · Oct 4

Running against

Lewis Mizrahi2%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.