What are Jace Yarbrough's chances of winning the 2026 TX-32 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jace Yarbrough a 89% chance (Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 89%).

How much money has Jace Yarbrough raised?

Jace Yarbrough's campaign has raised $866K and has $125K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TX

Jace Yarbrough

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jace Yarbrough (Republican) a 89% chance of winning the 2026 TX-32 House race (Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 89%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-32 House race	89%	89%	89%	▲ 2¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $866K
Spent: $740K
Cash on hand: $125K
Outside groups for: $1.5M
Outside groups against: $2K

Through June 30, 2026. $473K from individuals, $184K from PACs, $207K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Jace Yarbrough →

Running against

Dan Barrios11%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.