What are Jacqui Irwin's chances of winning the 2026 CA-26 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jacqui Irwin a 95% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Jacqui Irwin raised?

Jacqui Irwin's campaign has raised $822K and has $295K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CA

Jacqui Irwin

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jacqui Irwin (Democrat) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 CA-26 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-26 House race	95%	95%	95%	▲ 4¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $822K
Spent: $527K
Cash on hand: $295K
Outside groups for: $366K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $652K from individuals, $164K from PACs. FEC filings for Jacqui V Irwin →

Running against

Sam Gallucci5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.