What are Jahana Hayes's chances of winning the 2026 CT-05 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jahana Hayes a 96% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Jahana Hayes raised?

Jahana Hayes's campaign has raised $1.3M and has $1.1M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CT

Jahana Hayes

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jahana Hayes (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 CT-05 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CT-05 House race	96%	97%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.3M
Spent: $728K
Cash on hand: $1.1M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $611K from individuals, $574K from PACs. FEC filings for Jahana Hayes →

Running against

Chris Shea4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.