What are James Hayes's chances of winning the 2026 PA-12 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give James Hayes a 2% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 3%).

How much money has James Hayes raised?

James Hayes's campaign has raised $40K and has $10K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · PA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give James Hayes (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 PA-12 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 3%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 PA-12 House race	2%	2%	3%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $35K from individuals, $5K from PACs. FEC filings for James Hayes →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.