What are Janelle Stelson's chances of winning the 2026 PA-10 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Janelle Stelson a 80% chance (Kalshi 80%, Polymarket 80%).

How much money has Janelle Stelson raised?

Janelle Stelson's campaign has raised $6.4M and has $4.5M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · PA

Janelle Stelson

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Janelle Stelson (Democrat) a 80% chance of winning the 2026 PA-10 House race (Kalshi 80%, Polymarket 80%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 PA-10 House race	80%	80%	80%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $6.4M
Spent: $1.9M
Cash on hand: $4.5M
Outside groups for: $837K
Outside groups against: $1.3M

Through June 30, 2026. $4.9M from individuals, $489K from PACs. FEC filings for Janelle Stelson →

Polls

In the 2026 PA-10 House race, the Parlay polling average has Janelle Stelson at 47% against Scott Perry at 44%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-20).

Running against

Scott Perry20%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.