Republican · MO
Jason Smith
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jason Smith (Republican) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 MO-08 House race (Polymarket 98%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MO-08 House race | 98% | — | 98% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $5.3M
- Spent
- $3.3M
- Cash on hand
- $5.0M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 15, 2026. $1.6M from individuals, $2.7M from PACs. FEC filings for Jason T Smith →
Recent headlines
- Scary That Democrats Still Support Jack Smith Operation RealClearPolitics · Oct 4
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
