Republican
J.D. Vance
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give J.D. Vance (Republican) a 54% chance of winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination (Kalshi 49%, Polymarket 59%). J.D. Vance also appears in 1 other market below.
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 54% | 49% | 59% | — |
| 2028 presidential election | 21% | 21% | 22% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Social buzz
16.7M interactions with posts about J.D. Vance in the last 24 hours from 4K people; 59% of posts read as positive, down 20% on last week.
- #BREAKING: JD Vance is assembling a ‘coalition to go after the H-1B program.’ Insider Wire · tweet
- 🇺🇸 Florida U.S. Senate candidate Angie Nixon wants to know which eyeliner JD Vance uses: “His eyes look so beautiful. They pop.” The VP recently said Nixon, who is a Democratic Socialist, should "get the hell out" of the Mario Nawfal · tweet
- Remember that JD Vance and Chris Rufo both promoted this blood libel against Haitians in Springfield Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Recent headlines
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
