What are Jefferson Shreve's chances of winning the 2026 IN-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jefferson Shreve a 95% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Jefferson Shreve raised?

Jefferson Shreve's campaign has raised $2.4M and has $1.6M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · IN

Jefferson Shreve

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jefferson Shreve (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 IN-06 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 IN-06 House race	95%	94%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.4M
Spent: $950K
Cash on hand: $1.6M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $126K from individuals, $291K from PACs, $2.0M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Jefferson Shreve →

Running against

Cynthia Wirth5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.