What are Jerry Carl's chances of winning the 2026 AL-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jerry Carl a 96% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Jerry Carl raised?

Jerry Carl's campaign has raised $1.2M and has $367K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · AL

Jerry Carl

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jerry Carl (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 AL-01 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 AL-01 House race	96%	95%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.2M
Spent: $865K
Cash on hand: $367K
Outside groups for: $547K
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 22, 2026. $674K from individuals, $303K from PACs. FEC filings for Jerry Lee Carl →

Running against

Clyde Jones5%
Clyde Jones Jr.3%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.