What are Jim Baird's chances of winning the 2026 IN-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jim Baird a 94% chance (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Jim Baird raised?

Jim Baird's campaign has raised $358K and has $92K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · IN

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jim Baird (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 IN-04 House race (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 95%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 IN-04 House race	94%	93%	95%	▼ 2¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $159K from individuals, $197K from PACs. FEC filings for James R Baird →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.