Democrat · MA
Jim McGovern
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jim McGovern (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 MA-02 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 95%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MA-02 House race | 96% | 96% | 95% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $865K
- Spent
- $910K
- Cash on hand
- $349K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through August 12, 2026. $628K from individuals, $233K from PACs. FEC filings for James P McGovern →
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
