Republican · FL

Jimmy Patronis

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jimmy Patronis (Republican) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 FL-01 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 FL-01 House race97%97%96%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$3.8M
Spent
$2.9M
Cash on hand
$935K
Outside groups for
$2.1M
Outside groups against
$46K

Through July 29, 2026. $3.1M from individuals, $583K from PACs, $12K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Jimmy Patronis Jr. →

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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