What are John Rutherford's chances of winning the 2026 FL-05 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Rutherford a 92% chance (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 92%).

How much money has John Rutherford raised?

John Rutherford's campaign has raised $727K and has $269K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · FL

John Rutherford

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Rutherford (Republican) a 92% chance of winning the 2026 FL-05 House race (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 92%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-05 House race	92%	92%	92%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $727K
Spent: $636K
Cash on hand: $269K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 29, 2026. $274K from individuals, $453K from PACs. FEC filings for John Rutherford →

Running against

Rachel Grage8%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.