What are Josh Smead's chances of winning the 2026 MO-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Josh Smead a 5% chance (Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Josh Smead raised?

Josh Smead's campaign has raised $72K and has $17K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MO

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Josh Smead (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 MO-06 House race (Polymarket 5%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MO-06 House race	5%	—	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $64K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $8K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Josh Smead →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.