What are Keith Self's chances of winning the 2026 TX-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Keith Self a 95% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Keith Self raised?

Keith Self's campaign has raised $646K and has $213K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TX

Keith Self

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Keith Self (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 TX-03 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-03 House race	95%	94%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $646K
Spent: $542K
Cash on hand: $213K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $461K from individuals, $179K from PACs, $2K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Keith Alan Self →

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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.