What are Kelly Morrison's chances of winning the 2026 MN-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kelly Morrison a 97% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Kelly Morrison raised?

Kelly Morrison's campaign has raised $1.4M and has $414K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MN

Kelly Morrison

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kelly Morrison (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 MN-03 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MN-03 House race	97%	96%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.4M
Spent: $973K
Cash on hand: $414K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 22, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $209K from PACs, $7K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Kelly Louise Morrison →

Running against

Tyler Bass3%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.