Republican · TX

Lance Gooden

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lance Gooden (Republican) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 TX-05 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 TX-05 House race99%98%99%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$1.3M
Spent
$730K
Cash on hand
$1.3M
Outside groups for
$0
Outside groups against
$0

Through June 30, 2026. $397K from individuals, $524K from PACs. FEC filings for Lance Gooden →

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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