What are Laura Friedman's chances of winning the 2026 CA-30 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Laura Friedman a 96% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Laura Friedman raised?

Laura Friedman's campaign has raised $828K and has $469K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CA

Laura Friedman

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Laura Friedman (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 CA-30 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-30 House race	96%	97%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $828K
Spent: $655K
Cash on hand: $469K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $537K from individuals, $287K from PACs. FEC filings for Laura Friedman →

Running against

Scott Meyers4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.