What are Laurel Lee's chances of winning the 2026 FL-15 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Laurel Lee a 92% chance (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 93%).

How much money has Laurel Lee raised?

Laurel Lee's campaign has raised $2.3M and has $2.0M cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · FL

Laurel Lee

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Laurel Lee (Republican) a 92% chance of winning the 2026 FL-15 House race (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 93%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-15 House race	92%	91%	93%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.3M
Spent: $821K
Cash on hand: $2.0M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 29, 2026. $454K from individuals, $853K from PACs. FEC filings for Laurel Lee →

Running against

Robert People8%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.