What are Lori Trahan's chances of winning the 2026 MA-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lori Trahan a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Lori Trahan raised?

Lori Trahan's campaign has raised $1.6M and has $1.8M cash on hand, through August 12, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lori Trahan (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 MA-03 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 97%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MA-03 House race	96%	96%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through August 12, 2026. $803K from individuals, $813K from PACs. FEC filings for Lori Trahan →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.