What are Lucy McBath's chances of winning the 2026 GA-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lucy McBath a 97% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).

How much money has Lucy McBath raised?

Lucy McBath's campaign has raised $897K and has $676K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · GA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lucy McBath (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 GA-06 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 GA-06 House race	97%	97%	98%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $533K from individuals, $343K from PACs. FEC filings for Lucia Kay McBath →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.