What are Luke Bronin's chances of winning the 2026 CT-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Luke Bronin a 97% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Luke Bronin raised?

Luke Bronin's campaign has raised $3.1M and has $601K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CT

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Luke Bronin (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 CT-01 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 97%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CT-01 House race	97%	98%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 22, 2026. $3.0M from individuals, $23K from PACs. FEC filings for Luke Bronin →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.