What are Mark Harris's chances of winning the 2026 NC-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mark Harris a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Mark Harris raised?

Mark Harris's campaign has raised $1.0M and has $518K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NC

Mark Harris

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mark Harris (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 NC-08 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NC-08 House race	96%	96%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.0M
Spent: $609K
Cash on hand: $518K
Outside groups for: $13K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $786K from individuals, $200K from PACs. FEC filings for Mark E Harris →

Recent headlines

WATCH: Dem senators dodge backing Kamala Harris in potential 2028 run: ‘Very messy’ Fox News · Oct 4

Running against

Colby Watson4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.