What are Mark Teixeira's chances of winning the 2026 TX-21 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mark Teixeira a 94% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 94%).

How much money has Mark Teixeira raised?

Mark Teixeira's campaign has raised $3.9M and has $382K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TX

Mark Teixeira

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mark Teixeira (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 TX-21 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 94%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-21 House race	94%	94%	94%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $3.9M
Spent: $3.5M
Cash on hand: $382K
Outside groups for: $931K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $750K from individuals, $300K from PACs, $2.8M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Mark Charles Teixeira →

Running against

Kristin Hook6%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.