What are Mary Silva's chances of winning the 2026 WA-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mary Silva a 2% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has Mary Silva raised?

Mary Silva's campaign has raised $3K and has $820 cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · WA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mary Silva (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 WA-01 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 2%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WA-01 House race	2%	2%	2%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $942 from individuals, $0 from PACs, $2K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Mary Silva →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.