What are Matt Little's chances of winning the 2026 MN-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Matt Little a 95% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Matt Little raised?

Matt Little's campaign has raised $923K and has $128K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MN

Matt Little

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Matt Little (Democrat) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 MN-02 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MN-02 House race	95%	94%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $923K
Spent: $796K
Cash on hand: $128K
Outside groups for: $475K
Outside groups against: $17K

Through July 22, 2026. $719K from individuals, $37K from PACs, $162K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Matt Little →

Polls

In the 2026 MN-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Matt Little at 52% against Eric Pratt at 40%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-13).

Running against

Eric Pratt5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.