What are Matthew Montavon's chances of winning the 2026 FL-17 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Matthew Montavon a 5% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Matthew Montavon raised?

Matthew Montavon's campaign has raised $96K and has $24K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · FL

Matthew Montavon

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Matthew Montavon (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 FL-17 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 5%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-17 House race	5%	5%	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $96K
Spent: $73K
Cash on hand: $24K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 29, 2026. $58K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $39K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Matthew Montavon →

Running against

Greg Steube95%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.